The Data Tapes

Setpoint's Bite-Sized Debt Newsletter: May Edition I

The Latest in ABS and Debt Markets

Welcome to The Data Tapes—your biweekly snapshot of private credit and ABS markets. In each edition, we bring you concise updates on debt financings, platform fundraises, data insights, market trends, and the latest from Setpoint.

🚀 What’s New at Setpoint

  • 🔍 The Verification Agent Question Capital Providers Aren’t Asking: When you buy a house, you don't trust the appraiser the seller recommends; so why do capital providers let borrowers choose their verification agent? More from Setpoint’s SVP of Growth, Bart Steenbergen, on why capital providers should rethink how verification agents get selected: 2 min read.

  • 💡 The Most Important Financial Institution Nobody Talks About Anymore: GE Capital was a $600B lending platform that shaped the ABF playbook Apollo, Ares, KKR, and others still run today. It’s been dead for five years, but its influence on the architecture of modern private credit is everywhere. More from Business Development & Partnerships Lead at Setpoint, Conor Witt, here.

  • 🌆 Upcoming Setpoint Events:

    • LAST CHANCE | Private Credit's Next Act — May 12: Join Setpoint and Blue Owl for a private panel discussion and happy hour at a16z’s San Francisco office. Apply to attend.

    • Capital Conversations Summer Kickoff — June 2: Join Setpoint and Cross River for Capital Conversations, a happy hour bringing together the asset-backed finance community in NYC. ​Whether you're an investor, capital provider, or borrower, this is a chance to connect with industry leaders, exchange ideas, and enjoy great cocktails and bites. Apply to attend.

  • 🤝 We're on the road — let's connect:

    • Secondary and Capital Markets Conference, May 17-20 — New York, NY | Meet with us.

    • IMN's Residential Mortgage Securitization, June 3 — New York, NY | Meet with us.

    • IMN's SFR East, May 18-20 — Miami, FL | Meet with us.

💸 Debt Financings & Acquisitions

💰️Platform Growth

📈 Visuals

🗣️ Market Commentary

  • “But markets evolve. Private credit was good for a while, yields were 12%. Capital flooded into the market. Yields kept coming down into the mid-to-high single digits for the same risk. But there was so much capital, there was more competition for deals so you also lost covenants and things like that. The kind of capital that started to be raised - retail money - where it comes in one month and it has to be invested right away or you have negative drag, means you kind of have to buy the market what’s out there. One of great things about drawdown funds is if there’s nothing good to do, I don’t have to do anything. You kind of lost that. I think there will be some correction in private markets but it won’t be 2008 because it's not owned by banks at 30-1 leverage. I think one of the great opportunities right now is there are about 30,000 portfolio companies of mid-market private equity firms that can’t be sold and can’t go public - $20T or something worth of value. All of those companies will eventually need to be sold. For capital pools, there’s going to be an immense attractive opportunity to pick company by company - whether it’s co-investments or CVs. I think it’s one of the great times to put money to work.” - Tony James, former President and COO of Blackstone on Evolution of Private Markets 

  • “The real issue here is the liquidity mismatch between the retail investor and the duration of the investments. We live in a world where retail investors have become accustomed to having immediate liquidity for their investments . . . investing in private credit is a different story. Retail was viewed as a phenomenal channel from which to raise assets. But did the retail investors really understand the nature of the investment they were making?” - Ken Griffin, CEO of Citadel on private credit and liquidity

  • “Retail clearly is going to stop fueling the growth in AUM for private credit. There’s an increasing realization it’s an institutional product, not a retail product. There will be nicks and bruises along the way. Underwriting standards are tightening up.” - Paul Taubman, CEO of PJT on Waning Retail Appetite for Private Credit 

  • “So, valuing assets fairly is a hornet's nest, and especially so for private assets that have no reference point. Private asset investors must therefore accept that there is no correct answer, and no one answer, when it comes to a loan’s fair value. The only way to avoid the inherent unfairness that the uncertainty around NAVs introduces would be to pay investors leaving the fund the proceeds the manager receives when they sell off the departing investor’s share of the assets. But that’s not how these vehicles are structured.” - Howard Marks, Chairman of Oaktree on structural challenges with private asset valuations

  • “Over the last several years because of the same dynamics of the GFC, regulations, because bank balance sheets are full, they’ve pulled out of some areas. They’ve gotten less aggressive. Real estate being one of them - significantly. Because look at office buildings, vacancy rates, Chicago, New York, San Francisco. Banks have lots of real estate on the balance sheet, so they’re less inclined to put more on. That’s generated an opportunity for private credit. Our real estate private credit has increased five-fold over the last three years. That’s one area of alternative private credit. The second area is just good old fashion specialty finance. Consumer finance, buying pools of receivables, healthcare receivables, SPV lending, litigation finance, royalty financing, drug financing, venture debt financing. Areas where it hasn’t been core but it was niche. Those niches are becoming core. Where investors expect to find excess return is in private credit. It’s our job as managers to find that excess return and alpha. We think today one of the best areas today for alpha is alternative credit.” - Ted Koenig, Chairman and CEO of Monroe Capital on Core Opportunities in Alternative Private Credit 

📖 What We’re Reading & Listening To

Earnings & Investor Presentations

Reading

  • AI isn’t coming for your job. It’s coming for your mind. (Baillie Gifford)

  • Banks Get Picky on Asset-Based Lending After Credit Blow-Ups (Bloomberg)

  • Cracks in Private Credit (GS)

  • Credit Currents (BlackRock)

  • Echoes of Junk Bonds Past (Verdad)

  • Mexico’s Banks Handed Out Millions of Cards That Nobody Wants (Bloomberg)

  • Private Credit Boom Pushes Fund Finance Market Past $1 Trillion (Bloomberg)

  • The Coming FinTech Liquidity Supercycle (FT Partners & Blue Dot Investors)

Podcasts & Interviews
  • Building Blackstone, Backing Costco, with Tony James (a16z)

  • Convergence: Finding Opportunity in a Converging Credit Market (Apollo)

  • Drew McKnight, Co-CEO of Fortress, Discusses All Things Credit (Capital Creek Partners)

  • Jamie Dimon, CEO JPMorgan Chase: Corporate culture, risk, and the global economy (In Good Company)

  • Legends Live @ Citi: Josh Harris (Citi)

  • Private Credit in the Institutional Portfolio: Ted Seides, Ted Koenig, Rick Miller, Bouk van Geloven, Jeff Levin, Megan Neuberger (Milken Institute Global Conference 2026)