The Data Tapes

Setpoint's Bite-Sized Debt Newsletter: September Edition II

The Latest in ABS and Debt Markets

Welcome to The Data Tapes—your biweekly snapshot of private credit and ABS markets. In each edition, we bring you concise updates on debt financings, platform fundraises, data insights, market trends, and the latest from Setpoint.

🚀 What’s New at Setpoint

  • 🚀 Operate with Confidence Across Every Lender Relationship: Setpoint’s Capital OS takes the complexity out of syndicated deal operations with role-based visibility, automated reporting distribution, and a built-in audit trail. See how it works in our latest product spotlight.

  • 🤝 On the road this fall - let's connect. We’re attending a number of industry events in the coming months. Here are three upcoming conferences where we’d love to meet.

  • 🌆 Upcoming Setpoint Events:

    • Capital Conversations: After Hours — Oct. 15: Setpoint and One William Street are teaming up to host an evening of conversations, connections and cocktails in one of Manhattan’s most intimate speakeasy lounges. This is an exclusive opportunity to connect with leaders from across the asset-backed finance world. Apply to attend.

💸 Debt Financings & Acquisitions

💰️Platform Growth

📈 Visuals

🗣️ Market Commentary

  • “With prime borrowers, we are seeing the highest levels of delinquencies in more than 10 years… at a time of generally positive economic conditions. Such a performance trend is important because it ultimately impacts how prime consumer risk is perceived, which impacts how capital is allocated. By contrast, non-prime credit has seen credit performance improvements. The second set of charts below plot the same kind of data, but for sub-prime and near-prime borrowers. Recent trends show near-prime consumers performing nearly as well as prime. Think of FICO scores as necessary but insufficient indicators of risk. They must be viewed at the intersection of the other key factors, as we will see below.” -  Joel Holsinger, Keith Ashton, Kevin Alexander, Ares Alternative Credit Team 

  • “You can see clearly that the more recent mortgage vintages (2022+) have much higher (30%+) PTIs. In our view, unless and until real wages truly catch up and/or mortgage rates drop to permit refinancings, we are likely to continue to see a link between these consumers’ higher PTI / RTI stats and weaker credit performance.”  -  Joel Holsinger, Keith Ashton, Kevin Alexander, Ares Alternative Credit Team 

  • “The vast majority of both new and existing ABF funds are smaller funds with less than $1 billion of capital. As ABF strategies tend to create portfolios of at least 20-30 investments, these sub-$1bn funds are, by definition, targeting transactions under $50mm (and more typically $10-30mm). As we can tell you from experience, the fiercest competition we see is on the “small cap” side of the ABF market where there is the most overlapping demand. That limited “bite size” does not necessarily preclude smaller funds from investing in larger deals. It simply means that smaller funds must “club up” or participate alongside many other smaller funds on those larger opportunities.”  -  Joel Holsinger, Keith Ashton, Kevin Alexander, Ares Alternative Credit Team 

  • “One interesting canary in the coal mine that has not been materially recognized is the health of the consumer. And we’’re seeing delinquencies in unsecured obligations increase materially. We’re seeing tremendous pressure in places like the subprime auto market. We’re seeing material and elevated amount of sales by original issue consumer lenders to buyers of charged off paper - distressed unsecured paper. That I think has not been terribly well recognized. Where you have an ever weaker consumer, you have an ever weaker buyer of goods, you have an ever less robust labor force, etc. And so I think that’s entirely consistent and a bit of a leading indicator as to where things are going.” - Dan Zwirn, CEO & CIO of Arena Investors on Health of the Consumer

📖 What We’re Reading & Listening To

Reading
  • Breaking New Ground: The Case for Investing in De-Novo Specialty Finance Platforms (Edgar Matthews)

  • Credit Unbound: Capitalizing on a Shifting Opportunity Set (Axar Capital)

  • In the Gaps: Summer 2025 (Ares)

  • Kroll and StepStone Group Create Private-Credit Benchmarks Service (WSJ)

  • Mutual Fund Titans Plowed Into Private Markets. It Isn’t Working (Bloomberg)

  • Subprime Lender Tricolor to Liquidate Amid Fraud Allegations (Bloomberg)

Podcasts & Interviews
  • Arad Levertov, CEO of Sunbit, on creating an offline BNPL Lender (Fintech One-on-One)

  • Brookfield’s Flatt on Insurance, Private Markets, and AI (Bloomberg)

  • Educating Specialty Lenders with Scalable Debt, with Rob McGregor of Coromandel Capital (Credit Clubhouse)

  • Stonepeak’s Luke Taylor - What it Takes to Be a Great Infrastructure Investor (Alt Goes Mainstream)

  • The Health of the Consumer is the Canary in the Coal Mine, with Dan Zwirn (Credit Exchange)