The Data Tapes

Setpoint's Bite-Sized Debt Newsletter: July Edition II

The Latest in ABS and Debt Markets

Welcome to The Data Tapes—your biweekly snapshot of private credit and ABS markets. In each edition, we bring you concise updates on debt financings, platform fundraises, data insights, market trends, and the latest from Setpoint.

💸 Debt Financings & Acquisitions

💰️Platform Growth

📈 Visuals

 🗣️ Market Commentary

  • "There is an acceleration in companies strategically repositioning around capital light models, deliberately reducing exposure to cyclical businesses to improve visibility on earnings, margins, and returns. This structural shift creates actionable opportunities, both in acquiring equity stakes in these transitioning businesses and in directly purchasing carved-out assets." - Henry McVey, Global Head of Macro at KKR on shift to capital light business models

  • “There’s no reason these loans shouldn’t trade, but it will take time. It’ll be a gradual change: too much exposure to a specific industry, some troubled assets. Eventually, every lender will want to have the option to sell, even if they don’t use it. Banks only started trading their loans in the late 1980s and it took time for them to end up doing it in large size. As a lender, why would you not want the option to have liquidity?” Jeff Arronson, Co-Founder and Managing Principal at Centerbridge on the Path to Secondary Markets for Illiquid Private Credit 

  • “Fundamentally, while there are nuances around the edges, consumer credit is primarily about the labor market. And in a world with 4.1% unemployment rate, it's just going to be hard, especially in our portfolio, to see a lot of weakness. Now, it is true that if you look at not our data, but the government's data, I think I was looking at this the other day like, first half real consumer spending of this year versus second half of last year is down. Now, it's still positive, it's still growing, but it's down. So it's kind of consistent, this sort of soft landing narrative, which is also consistent with the sort of the GDP outlook that our economists are publishing. Our own data looked sort of in nominal terms on a cohort basis, actually shows spending up a little bit over the same period.” - Jeremy Barnum, CFO of JPM on Health of the US Consumer

  • “I would say, it's not high on my list [to buy a private credit firm] because we can do it ourselves and then you know buying people and comp plans. And I also think you may have seen peak private credit a little bit. I don't know that, but we already do it. So if it was the right people, the right price, the right – sure, we should look at it…I've mentioned that credit spreads are very low. It's grown dramatically over time. And you have to pay up a lot for it. I'm not saying, it's not going to grow some more, but I would have a slight reluctance depending on who it was. But your bankers might come to us with something tomorrow that we just hadn't thought about that is a complete natural fit for us; natural fit being product and people and culture.” - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPM on Appetite to Acquire a Private Credit Fund and Why We May Be at Peak Private Credit

📖 What We’re Reading & Listening To

Earnings Reports
Reading
  • 2025 Midyear Global Outlook (BlackRock

  • Apollo’s Private Credit Trade Finds New Audience on Blockchain (Bloomberg)

  • Asset-Based Finance: Private Credit Hidden in Plain Sight - Part 1 (KKR)

  • Fixed-Income Sector Views: Q3 2025 (Guggenheim

  • Housing Headwinds & Hidden Strengths (Rithm

  • Magnetar Capital sees AI as biggest investment opportunity in firm’s 20-year history (P&I)

  • Make Your Own Luck: Mid-Year Outlook for 2025 (KKR)

  • Mid-Year Megatrends Update (Blackstone)

  • Outlook for public and private markets (Apollo)

  • Private Credit Can Bring Risk Along with Liquidity to Commercial Property Finance (WSJ)

  • Who Lends to Households and Firms? (Liberty Street Economics

  • Trump’s Tax Bill Set to Help SoFi, Other Private Student Lenders (Bloomberg)

Podcasts & Interviews
  • Building Sixth Street with Alan Waxman (Invest Like the Best)

  • Direct Lending’s Evolution and Invesco’s Edge (Capital Allocators)

  • Diversification Brings Europe into the Spotlight with Maxime Laurent-Bellue of Tikehau (Credit Clubhouse)

  • Fireside Chat with Marc Zahr, Co-President and Head of Real Assets at Blue Owl (AGM)

  • George Wunderlin, CEO at Schroders Capital, on the evolution of private capital in investors portfolio (ION Influencers Fireside Chat)

  • How Asset-Backed Finance Powers the Economy, with David Vick and Dylan Ross (TCW)

  • Investing in Consumer Credit: Financial the Real Economy with PJ Collins (AllianceBernstein)

  • Macro Markets Podcast Episode 72: Credit Cycle Check-In (Guggenheim

  • Private Credit Giant Ares is Seeing More Defensive Opportunities in Europe (Credit Edge)

  • Reinventing Talent and Building Momentum at Treville with Michael Ovitz (Capital Allocators)

  • The Jamie Dimon Interview (Acquired Podcast)