The Data Tapes

Setpoint's Bite-Sized Debt Newsletter: March Edition II

The Latest in ABS and Debt Markets

Welcome to The Data Tapes—your biweekly snapshot of private credit and ABS markets. In each edition, we bring you concise updates on debt financings, platform fundraises, data insights, market trends, and the latest from Setpoint.

💸 Debt Financings & Acquisitions

💰️Platform Growth

📈 Visuals

🗣️ Market Commentary

  • “There’s not enough bank capital in the world to grow the economy, and particularly as governments have leveraged themselves, there’s really just not enough capital to grow the economy. With the capital expenditure that’s going into technology, AI, and the underlying infrastructure, you’re not going to be able to do that without private pools of capital.” - Scott Kapnick, Founding Partner & CEO of HPS on Post-GFC Need for Private Pools of Capital to Finance Growth 

  • "There’s going to be a huge amount of secondary activity in the private-credit market, and we are well-positioned for that and have spent a lot of time thinking about it. Not all private credit will perform the same—anticipating a dispersion that will require close attention to details."  - Alisa Mall, CIO of Michael Dell’s Family Office, on PC secondaries as a buying opportunity amid turmoil

  • “Over the past several years, new vehicles designed with incentives that sacrificed robust capital and liquidity guardrails in favor of short-term asset gathering were introduced and proliferated, targeted at a largely retail client base with which the industry has shallower relationships compared to the institutional investors that initially funded the sector (and that still predominantly make up Sixth Street’s capital base). These “dollar in, dollar deployed” structures for BDC investors fundamentally changed how BDC assets were originated. The need to scale deployment and the constant search to put dollars to work became the paramount driver of new origination. In the process, direct lending began to move away from the core attributes that made it successful in the first place: deep operational diligence, prudent loan structuring and covenant documentation, an awareness of the forward rate curve, and how to finance durable earnings and therefore distributions. Deployment trumped investment discipline.” - Sixth Street Specialty Lending on Evolution of BDC Incentive Structures and its Implications 

  • "Private credit funds are highly capitalized, with equity typically accounting for 65–80% of total assets—more than six times the capitalization of U.S. banks. Fund lives average 10–12 years, while underlying loan maturities are generally shorter, implying little or no maturity mismatch. Overall, private credit funds appear conservatively structured and unlikely to pose systemic risks comparable to traditional banks." - Matvos, Piskorski & Seru, NBER Working Paper: Private Credit, Balance Sheets and Financial Stability

  • "Efforts to make private credit tradable face obstacles and risk undermining one of the main reasons—earning an illiquidity premium—that investors look to private assets. The promise of greater secondary liquidity is, in some cases, being used to justify a meaningful erosion of the illiquidity premium in direct lending relative to public markets." - Lotfi Karoui, PIMCO, on public-private spread convergence

📖 What We’re Reading & Listening To

Investor Letters & Outlooks

  • 2026 Market Overview: Private Credit (Hamilton Lane)

  • Fund Finance: 2026 Market Pulse (Akin Gump)

  • Optimizing the Efficient Frontier: Opportunistic Credit Amid a Capital Reset (Davidson Kempner)

  • Private Credit Market Pulse (Campbell Lutyens)

  • Private Credit: Beyond Direct Lending (Brookfield)

  • Recent Trends in Corporate Direct Lending 2H25 (StepStone)

  • Sixth Street Specialty Lending Letter to Stakeholders (Sixth Street)

  • Spreads May Be Converging, But Liquidity Is Not (PIMCO)

Reading

  • Cliffwater Private Credit Fund Under Pressure in Redemption Cycle (Bloomberg)

  • How a British Mortgage Company Became Private Credit’s Latest Black Eye (WSJ)

  • How Promote Giving, a new investment model, will raise millions for charities (AP)

  • Next Era of Private Credit (McKinsey)

  • Real Assets in 2026: The Year of Intelligent Infrastructure (PGIM)

  • Private Credit, Balance Sheets and Financial Stability (Working Paper) (NBER)

  • Who Is On the Other Side? A Framework for Understanding Market (In)Efficiency (Morgan Stanley IM)

Podcasts & Interviews
  • Ali Hamed: From a College Dorm to $3B AUM + Mr. Beast (Forged in America)

  • Connor Teskey: Inside Brookfield’s Culture, Capital Allocation, and Competitive Edge (The Knowledge Project)

  • HPS CEO Kapnick on the Next Wave in Private Credit (Bloomberg)

  • Reflections on Oaktree Conference 2026 with Howard Marks (Oaktree)

  • TCW’s Koch: Opportunities in New Private Credit Loans (Bloomberg)

  • The Rise of Private Credit: How $1T in Capital is Reshaping Finance (Interplay)