The Data Tapes

Setpoint's Bite-Sized Debt Newsletter: July Edition III

The Latest in ABS and Debt Markets

Welcome to The Data Tapes—your biweekly snapshot of private credit and ABS markets. In each edition, we bring you concise updates on debt financings, platform fundraises, data insights, market trends, and the latest from Setpoint.

🚀 What’s New at Setpoint

  • Upcoming event: Capital Conversations at Franklin BBQ

    Setpoint and Texas Capital are bringing together leading capital providers and borrowers for an exclusive evening of legendary BBQ and conversation at Franklin Backyard. Apply to attend.

  • 🤝 We're on the road — let's connect:

    • 2026 Western Secondary Market Conference, Aug 10-12 — Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | Meet with us.

💸 Debt Financings & Acquisitions

AI, Infrastructure & Energy

Aviation, Rail & Transportation

  • AIP Capital, Bridgepoint expanded their JV and signed a purchase agreement to acquire 11 LEAP-1B engines from CFM international.

Real Estate & Mortgage

Auto & Consumer Finance

Commercial Finance

Payments

💰️Platform Growth

Fundraises

M&A

New Vehicles, Hiring & Structured Products

  • Encina Private Credit rebrands as Encina Commercial Finance. Encina Commercial Finance (ECF) is focused on first-out enterprise value loans from $15M - 150M.

📈 Visuals

🗣️ Market Commentary

  • “Market is overreacting to hyperscale credit spreads widening from my perspective. TL;DR Spot pricing for renting GPU compute materially above contracted rates implies hyperscalers are underearning while operating cash flow acceleration is an underestimated source of funds for AI capex. The fact that spot prices for GPU rentals are at least 2x higher than contracted rates is the missing piece from the discussion about hyperscaler credit, which is the only fundamental factor behind this selloff. Multiple private companies are planning on spending at least 2x more per GPU for compute as contracts roll-off and some have spoken about this publicly. As contracts roll-off, hyperscale growth rates are going to continue to accelerate as their installed bases of compute reprice higher. Hyperscale operating cash flow growth using a mix of estimates and actuals is modeled to accelerate from 31% in the first quarter of 2026 to 50% in the second quarter. This acceleration should continue for the rest of the year and this is not in estimates which incorrectly model a deceleration in the third quarter from my perspective.” - Gavin Baker, Founder & CIO of Atreides Management on Market Misperceptions of Hyperscaler Credit Spreads

  • “When you think about illiquidity premiums, it needs to be on the order of hundreds of basis points, we believe, to sufficiently compensate you for that illiquidity risk. It’s also about the structures that you hold those investments in. What we’re very focused on at Carlyle is being able to very clearly explain to our investors the type of liquidity they can expect and not expect when they come into these investments, because there is a tradeoff when they come into these illiquid investments. When you cut through some of the chip financings and data center financings, what they’re ultimately supported by is cash flows and leases to IG counterparts, many of those being the hyperscalers. And so, there’s an element that you may be secured by an asset but ultimately what supports that asset is an obligation or a cash flow from an IG corporate. We don’t look at AI monolithically. We think about diversification. One of the areas we’ve been focused on is energy and natural gas. We think natural gas is going to become the next currency of AI. When you think about all of the CGT power plants that are being built to power these data centers, they’re going to need natural gas. We have a venture with Diversified Energy where we’ve been acquiring mature cash flowing, mostly natural gas wells, hedging them, and securitizing them as a way to get that exposure and benefit from those tailwinds.” - Akhil Bansal, Head of Asset-Backed Finance at Carlyle on Illiquidity Premium in ABF and Energy and Natural Gas Opportunities 

  • “The managers who will endure are those who resisted the temptation to equate growing assets with creating value. In a fund that owns only loans, success is measured by return on each dollar invested — not by how many dollars you’re managing. These are not the same thing, and confusing them has cost investors dearly.” - Joshua Easterly, former CIO of Sixth Street on Three Lies in Private Credit

📖 What We’re Reading & Listening To

Earnings & Investor Presentations
Reading
Podcasts & Interviews
  • Beyond the Private Credit Headlines: Finding Opportunity in a Noisy Market (Guggenheim)

  • Golub co-CEO sees a Darwinian moment for private capital (Credit Exchange)

  • Jon Winkleried on Lessons from Goldman Sachs and TPG’s Next Chapter (Talks at GS)

  • Roadmap for Private Credit in Australia - Frank Danieli of MA Financial Group (Capital Allocators)

  • Sagard's Paul Desmarais III - building the next generation alternative asset manager (AGM)

  • Thoughts from the Road: Europe (KKR)

  • Wall Street Alchemists Tap Insurers to Unfreeze Private Markets (Bloomberg)