The Data Tapes

Setpoint's Bite-Sized Debt Newsletter: August Edition I

The Latest in ABS and Debt Markets

Welcome to The Data Tapes—your biweekly snapshot of private credit and ABS markets. In each edition, we bring you concise updates on debt financings, platform fundraises, data insights, market trends, and the latest from Setpoint.

🚀 What’s New at Setpoint

  • 🤝 On the road this fall - let's connect. We’re attending a number of industry events in the coming months. Here are two upcoming conferences where we’d love to meet.

  • 🌆 Upcoming Setpoint Events:

    • Capital Conversations at Franklin BBQ Sept. 10: We’re teaming up with Texas Capital, LiveOak Ventures, and Saluda Grade for a private buyout of Austin’s legendary Franklin Barbecue. No lines, no crowds—just top-tier barbecue and conversation with fellow capital markets leaders. Apply to attend.

    • ABF Pickleball Social in Central Park Oct. 1: Join fellow capital markets and asset-backed finance professionals for a sunset evening of casual pickleball, cocktails, elevated bites, and conversation — all from private cabanas with skyline views. All skill levels welcome. Apply to attend.

💸 Debt Financings & Acquisitions

💰️Platform Growth

📈 Visuals

 🗣️ Market Commentary

  • “There are three that stand out: (1) Private Student Lending: The exit of most banks and the dismantling of the $1.5 trillion federal student loan program will potentially create a large opportunity for private credit to fill the void. (2) Infrastructure Credit: We’ll be seeing a lot more infrastructure spending over the next several years from AI to energy to deglobalization, and many of those projects will need customized financings that private credit players will be better suited to provide. (3) Home Finance: Financing the residential home ecosystem from land, home improvements, home equity, etc. is an asset class that lends itself to providers of senior leverage. The post-GFC persistent undersupply of housing stock relative to household formation creates a supply-demand balance favoring providing financing into this ecosystem.” - Akhil Bansal, Head of Asset-Backed Finance at Carlyle on Ares of Opportunity in Asset-Backed Finance 

  • “Sponsors have been really active in refinancing names from private credit into the broadly syndicated market. If the company is performing well, and can save a good portion on its debt by refinancing, we’ve seen the broadly syndicated market be really competitive.” - Ted Goldthorpe, partner and head of credit at BC Partners on Opportunities in BSL Market

  • “In asset-backed securities, prime consumer credit is holding up, but inflation is pressuring weaker borrowers. Our team is also starting to see some cracks amongst borrowers of all credit grades that have student loans as the payment moratorium has ended. Thus, we strongly favor top-tier issuers or originators. In commercial ABS, we continue to focus on contractual cash flows that are essential to companies or that are less sensitive to economic downturns.” - Edwin Wilches, Co-Head of Securitized Products, PGIM on Q3 ABS Outlook

  • “And within private credit, you've seen that grow at a very healthy rate. We're up 20% year-over-year, $120 billion of AUM. $75 billion of that is asset-based finance. That year-over-year growth is in the mid-20s, so I think with $75 billion of ABF AUM growing at a north of 20% year-over-year rate, you get a sense of the significance of this business and the growth trajectory that we've seen. And as we think about this overall environment, are companies that want to see or are electing to go in a more capital-light fashion and if there's a way for them to free up capital and use that capital for other strategic initiatives. And I think at the heart, that's what you saw in the Harley-Davidson deal.” - Craig Larson, Head of IR at KKR on ABF Growth and Harley Davidson deal

📖 What We’re Reading & Listening To

Earnings Reports
Reading
  • Brookfield’s Insurer Trims Private Credit, Citing Crowded Trade (Insurance Journal)

  • Buyout Firm Vista Eyes over $200M in Savings by Ditching Private Debt (Bloomberg)

  • Dragged Out to Sea: The Ongoing Stress and Distress in the US Middle Market (Marblegate Asset Management)

  • Growth and Venture Debt (BlackRock

  • KKR’s Healthcare Royalty Partners Deal Signals New Front in ABF Origination Wars (Covenant Lite)

  • Market Volatility: Another Factor Driving Private Credit’s Expansion (HPS)

  • Private Debt Investors Take a Closer Look at Collateral in Booming Market (Bloomberg)

Podcasts & Interviews
  • Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz on Private Credit (Bloomberg)

  • Full Contact Capitalism – Andrew Milgram, Marblegate Asset Management (Invest Like the Best)

  • Jeffrey Gundlack Breaks Down the Fed’s Dilemma and His Market Outlook (DoubleLine)

  • Private Capital Gets More Alternative (McKinsey)

  • Real Estate Private Credit with Madison’s Zegen (Bloomberg)

  • The End of Easy Private Credit and What Comes Next with Michael Gross, CEO of SLR (Industry Insights)