The Data Tapes

Setpoint's Bite-Sized Debt Newsletter: September Edition I

The Latest in ABS and Debt Markets

Welcome to The Data Tapes—your biweekly snapshot of private credit and ABS markets. In each edition, we bring you concise updates on debt financings, platform fundraises, data insights, market trends, and the latest from Setpoint.

🚀 What’s New at Setpoint

  • 🤝 On the road this fall - let's connect. We’re attending a number of industry events in the coming months. Here are three upcoming conferences where we’d love to meet.

  • 🌆 Upcoming Setpoint Events:

    • The Capital Hour — NYC, Sept. 25: Setpoint and Citi SPRINT are coming together during DealCatalyst’s ABF Conference to host an exclusive rooftop happy hour in Midtown. This is a unique opportunity to connect with senior leaders and innovators shaping the ABF ecosystem. Apply to attend.

💸 Debt Financings & Acquisitions

💰️Platform Growth

📈 Visuals

🗣️ Market Commentary

  • “What usually is a back office thing that a lot of fintechs aren’t thinking about that they should be is capital markets. Our very first warehouse line was priced at L+1000. Today, our average warehouses are inside of S+200. Our last securitization was 124 BPs. This doesn’t even talk about all of the fact that we had to give away some warrants, our advance rates our much better. That is well over 800 BPs of improvement. Our annualized loss rate is is 2%. We would have to have negative losses to see that type of improvement. A lot of problems why investors think lending is so bad is because they didn’t actually have a thoughtful capital markets strategy. So they never made money and they always needed more cash to be put in the balance sheet. But investing in capital markets in the same way you invest heavily in technology and credit is one of the secrets to being able to build a business.” - Jason Guss, Founder & CEO of Octane on the Importance of Capital Markets strategy in building durable lending businesses

  • “It’s natural for credit investors to think back to the early 2000s when telecom companies arguably overbuilt and over borrowed and we saw some significant writedowns on those assets…So, the AI boom certainly raises questions in the medium term around sustainability. - Daniel Sorid, head of U.S. IG credit strategy at Citi on the credit-fueled euphoria around AI infrastructure

  • “There’s tremendous scale in consumer lending across the spectrum: from large banks to regionals, credit unions and non-bank lenders. We’ve seen significant growth in non-banks and specialty finance companies offering products that go beyond what banks have traditionally provided. Often, we find the most attractive relative value in segments that were previously well-trafficked but have seen lender retrenchment. Regional banks stepping back is a good example. Additionally, some lenders are still dealing with underperformance from the post-Covid period, particularly in 2021 and 2022. Others, especially asset-light non-bank lenders, may be struggling to place loans with buyers. In those situations, we’re often able to negotiate better economics.” - Chris Gray, MD at Oaktree on the Opportunities in Asset-Backed Finance

  • “Inflows into the asset class meant too much capital was committed far too quickly…Underwriting corners were surely cut; and losses will be outsized come the downturn.” - Stephen Dulake, JP Morgan on Catalysts for Private Credit Default Rates

📖 What We’re Reading & Listening To

Reading
  • A Comprehensive Guide to Private Credit (Ares)

  • ABL-Induced Distress: When Minor Headwinds Turn Into Serious Issues (Pari Passu)

  • Credit Fuels the AI Boom - and Fears of a Bubble (Bloomberg

  • Data Centers to Propel Infra Securitizations past $110B by 2026 End (Bloomberg)

  • NAV Finance: How Preferred Equity Can Enhance Debt Returns (17Capital

  • Q2 2025: Private Credit Quarterly (Configure Partners)

  • The ABCs of BDCs (Apollo)

  • The Rise of Production Capital (Venture Desktop)

  • Venture Debt Firms Tilt Towards Mature Companies (WSJ)

Podcasts & Interviews
  • A Primer on Property Lending with Varde’s Jim Dunbar (Bloomberg FICC Focus)

  • Jason Guss, CEO of Octane, on Building the Number One Powersports Lender (Fintech One-on-One

  • Significant Risk Transfers Feeding Private Credit with Man’s Matthew Moniot  (Bloomberg)

  • The Josh Harris Playbook: Building Cultures of Excellence in Business and Sports (McKinsey)